May 13, 1998
Day 2.
May 13, 1998
Lexington, Ky to Lexington, KY
~350 miles.
09:00
The morning radar and surface indicated lttle or nothing for
today. So we figured we
would just drift west, into Missouri to be in position for the storms on
Thursday. Our estimates
said nothern plains, in northwestern Iowa. When we went out to the car,
the day had that heavy,
steel grey look. Both of us said it looked like storm weather, but all
the reports said nothing.
After a quick breakfast, we hopped into the car and drove west, towards
Louisville.
13:00
We stopped
for a break in a town called Corydon, the site of Illinois first state
capitol, and of the only civil war
battel field in Illinois.
Talked with a man on a pilgramige. Said his great-grandfather was
one of the first men
over the battlements at the Corydon battle, but he didn't make it back
over the confederate lines,
so spent the next several years in various Union POW camps. Walked over
to a glass factory,
watched these guys in shirtsleeves dipping liquid glass onto metal poles,
and color, and shape,
and turn them by hand. Spooky to watch barehanded shaping of glowing
glass, with wet wooden
and leather hand tools.
Back in the car, and the weather service announces a revised
forecast, slight possibility
of severe thunderstorms over east central Kentucky. But where is that?
No towns, no ground
knowledge is a handycap. Stop for a bite and a download at the same taco
bell we hit on the trip
out. Double back to Corydon, nothing on radar, but the clouds are
forming. Weather radio dies,
so we have no big picture.
18:00
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Eastern KY.
Chase clouds south,
then back to Lextinton, big 200 mile circle. Check back into the same
hotel, drop some luggage
and drive 60 miles further east ( Got a new weather radio on the way)
Alarms go off, we're 10
miles west of the severe thunderstorm warning. The lighning is wonderful,
while each flash lasts
only an eyeblink, there is a point when it seems as if there is more
lightning than not. The
landscape is flickering from light to dark, positive to negative and back.
We hold up on a slight rise and sit back to watch the show. there
is a supercell bearing
down on us from the northeast and we will need to cut across about thirty
miles of it to get back
to Lexington, and the hotel. On the way back a second thunderstorm
warning goes off, about 10
miles northeast of our westward run. We punch through another cell on the
way back, and it trips
a third severe thunderstorm warning as we get out of it.
In general, punching through a severe storm is a bad idea. The
visibility drops to zero,
the winds, rain, and hail make driving interesting, and the winds
frequently cause trees to fall
down. So the rule is don't punch through. But it's been a long time, and
we had to get back to
the hotel anyway.
May 19, 1998
Sioux City, IA to Newton, IA
395 Miles
09:00
We left Sioux city, after driving downtown to get some real coffee.
We saw a coffee shop yesterday, next to the brewpub where we had lunch.
The Storm Prediction Centers 1 day convective maps were off line, so I
used the Weather Channel's severe weather map for the day's prediction.
The current attempt uses the intersection of the severe weather zone and
the 50/60 degree dew point lines.
The predicted target was about 50 miles south of Des Moines, Iowa; so it
was into the car and onto the road.
We drove south to Omaha/Council Bluffs, and decided that Iowa is a state
designed for storm chasers.
The freeway rest-stops have monitors that run loops showing current
radar, surface conditions, and watches and warnings.
Oh, yeah they also show raod delays and other stuff too.
The radar showed a good-sized storm coming up out of Missouri, moving to
the north-east.
We continued down to Council Bluffs, and turned east onto 680.
12:00
We checked again about 50 miles down the road, and there were no watches
or warnings, and the storms were weakening.
The day was humid, but there weren't any cumulus clouds.
Instead there was the same thick haze, obscuring everything.
Since our target area was south, we cut south off I-80 about 70 miles
west of Des Moines.
We had a great lunch (Louise had the pot roast blue plate special, and I
had a great chicken sandwich and potato salad) in Atlantic, IA, and tried
to get the convective data from the SPC.
But we could not get a solid connection, so we decided to go north, and
take advantage of the state of Iowa's radar rest stops.
The radar showed that the southern storms had dissipated, but that there
was a major super cell over Debuque.
Even better, the NWS popped a severe thunderstorm watch over eastern
Iowa, and northern Illinois.
We continued east.
15:00
When we arrived in Des Moines, there were a few patches of small cumulus
clouds, the first we had seen all day.
We pulled into a wal-mart for a download. So far on the trip, we had a
6/7 success rate doing downloads from Wal-Marts, and less than 50/50 at
other sites.
Wal-marts always have good cell connections for some reason - Louise
thinks that the same demographics that indicate a market for a Wal-Mart
are the same as those for a successful cell.
Wal-mart failed us - we could not get a good data connection.
At the same time that we were disconnecting, the first warning popped.
During the fifteen minutes we were trying to connect, the few puffy
clouds had developed into explosive thunderheads.
18:00
We flirted with the storms for the next three hours, and were less than 2
miles away from the tornado when we ran into the police roadblock.
It is probably just as well, since the tornados were buried in thick
downpours (over 3.5 inches in some spots), so there were no sight lines.
It would have been very risky to get much closer.
We'll count this as a near miss.
More weather tomorrow.
May 20, 1998
Newton, IA to Lawrence, KS
400 Miles
09:00
Woke up to severe thunderstorm warnings over Des Moines, and Newton.
Had to delay the downloads to avoid risking the equipment to power
surges.
Pulled in the latest data, and the SPC has a long wide band stretching
from Western Montana to Virginia Beach.
The fronts look good across the center of the country, so what to do?
We finally target north western Missouri, and hit the road.
As we pull south out of Des Moines, there is a severe thunderstorm
warning over Warren County.
We decide that these will dissipate as the morning progresses, and go
with our prediction.
It is hard to watch the thick black clouds massing in the rear view
mirror, with little or nothing in front of us.
13:00
We stopped for lunch in Lamonie, IA.
A little town off I-35, the home of the reformed church of latter day
saints, the ones who got along with their neighbors.
The Cattleman's association was doing an 'Eat more Cows' promo.
Good food.
16:00
We're in St. Joseph, MO.
There is nothing happening in the sky.
We tour the Pony Express Museum, and grab coffee at a 'Common Grounds'
coffee shop.
They are a fundamentalist, constitutional, commune thingie.
After coffee, the weather radio, suggests that things are happening
further south, so we head for Kansas City.
After several false starts, it is now 7pm, and we're near Lawrence, KS.
Several storms have started up, but faded away.
Time to call it a night, and get a global picture.
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Last Updated: 16 Apr 1998